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PostPosted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 2:59 pm 
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Things look bad for Obama, but not so good for his challengers either.

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/09/2012-poll-obamas-favorability-slips-but-perry-romney-do-no-better/

Quote:
2012 Poll: Obama’s Favorability Slips – But Perry, Romney Do No Better

Analysis from ABC News’ Gary Langer (@langerresearch):

Barack Obama’s basic popularity has slipped to its lowest of his presidency, but his top two Republican challengers are no better off: Rick Perry and Mitt Romney are far less known than Obama – and at least as divisive as he is among those who do have an opinion of them.

The result of this ABC News/Washington Post poll underscores the long road Perry and Romney face in making an impression on would-be voters – and their challenges in doing so. Perry, notably, is seen more unfavorably than favorably among Americans who’ve formed an opinion of him, and Romney manages only a split decision, much like Obama.

This survey, produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates, is the first of a new series measuring the number of Americans who express a favorable or unfavorable impression of individuals in the news. Such ratings are the most basic measure of a public figure’s popularity.

On Obama, Americans now divide: Forty-seven percent see him favorably overall, fewer than half for the first time in ABC/Post polling since he announced his candidacy in February 2007 and down dramatically from his extraordinary peak, 79 percent, days before he took office in January 2009. Essentially as many adults now see Obama unfavorably, 46 percent, as favorably.

Read the full poll results.

Yet Perry, the Texas governor and Republican presidential candidate, has hurdles of his own. Thirty-one percent of Americans have an unfavorable opinion of Perry overall, exceeding the 23 percent who see him favorably. That’s marked by a shortfall in the political center: Independents, the keystone of national politics, see him more unfavorably than favorably by a 13-point margin.

Customarily it’s a trouble sign for a political figure’s unfavorable rating to exceed his or her favorable score. What helps Perry is the very large number of adults – 46 percent – who’ve yet to form an opinion of him one way or the other. Perry also has an advantage in the Republican base – greater strength of support than Romney’s among conservative Republicans and among Americans who call themselves “very” conservative.

Romney, for his part, has a 33-31 percent favorable-unfavorable rating, splitting the country much as Obama does, simply with opposite partisan divisions. Again, a very substantial number, 37 percent, have yet to form an opinion of Romney, despite his unsuccessful campaign for the GOP presidential nomination four years ago.

The high number who are undecided about Perry and Romney may in part reflect the fact that these views were asked without any preceding questions on politics or election preferences; as such they’re a particularly clean measure, taken with no possibility of priming.

To one extent, high undecideds represent an advantage for Perry and Romney alike; it’s generally easier to influence a decision that’s in the process of being made than it is to change an opinion once formed. Better then to have 31 percent unfavorable ratings, as Perry and Romney do, than 46 percent unfavorable, as Obama does. On the other hand, though, Obama has a favorable rating that’s 14 points higher than Romney’s, and double Perry’s – money in the bank, if Obama can hold on to it.

Another way to assess these ratings is to percentage them only among individuals who have an opinion, implicitly allocating those who are undecided proportionally to those who have an opinion. Just among Americans who have an opinion of Perry, 42 percent see him favorably, 58 percent unfavorably. For Romney and Obama it’s closer, 51-49 percent for both.



See the rest at the link


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 21, 2011 3:06 pm 
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At Real Clear Politics ongoing conglomerate presidential poll, Obama still loses by a half percentage point to a generic Republican challenger, but he still beats all of the present Republican field. Obama now beats Romney by 3 points and Perry by 8.2.

Things are not looking good for the GOP as Obama continues to slip, but his challengers slip even more.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/president_obama_vs_republican_candidates.html


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