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 Post subject: RCP: Latest 2012 Poll
PostPosted: Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:27 pm 
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Well it looks like someone is noticing that Huckabee was the only one a head in that latest poll:
September 20th, 2010
What the Latest Polls Told Us - Monday Edition
Posted by Sean Trende

Once again, the most interesting polls over the weekend were of the House races. We'll look at those first, but before that, we'll take a quick look at the PPP presidential poll.


PPP (D) took a poll of the various 2012 contenders. The findings:

Mike Huckabee is the only possible GOP contender polling ahead of Obama this month, at 47/44. Going from arguably most pleasant to most angry across the spectrum of leading Republicans you then have Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 46-43, Newt Gingrich 47-43, Sarah Palin 49-43, and Glenn Beck 48-39.

Obviously the state of the economy and President Obama's interaction with the 112th Congress will be the biggest determinants of the outcome of the 2012 elections. But the PPP polls show the importance of the electorate. PPP polls “voters” for this sample, which is defined as registered voters who have voted in any one of the last three elections.

The basic effect of this is to let through all Obama surge voters, whether they plan on voting again or not. And sure enough, if you compare the 2008 exit polls with the crosstabs, you end up with results similar to what PPP finds.

But it is by no means clear that Obama can “put the band back together.” Re-electing the first black president isn't as exciting as electing him for the first time, and younger voters who flocked to vote for him in 2008 might be less thrilled in 2012. If you put in the 2004 exit poll numbers – somewhere between the 2008 and likely 2010 numbers, the head-to-heads are quite a bit worse for Obama. He trails Huckabee 49-42, Romney 45-44, and trails Palin 47-44 and trails Gingrich by a narrow 45.3-44.8 margin. ... y-edition/


PostPosted: Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:24 pm 
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GREAT ! I am glad to see RCP publicizing this poll with no editorial bias over which choice is best. I know Mike is probably making the national GOP establishment unhappy with his latest comments but they need to listen and heed his advice and truly become a Conservative Party ( I hope. )

PostPosted: Mon Sep 20, 2010 6:38 pm 
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I made sure to send this polling result to Michael Medved so that he can know who the real "front-runner" is. :wink:

Most people believe what they see, the Left see's what it believes.....

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