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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 7:18 am 
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A new poll by CNN shows Gov. Huckabee beats Obama 52-44

http://www.cnn.com/2010/POLITICS/11/04/ ... andidates/

Quote:
Washington (CNN) -- His party got its clock cleaned in Tuesday's midterm elections, but President Barack Obama remains competitive in hypothetical 2012 presidential election matchups, especially against Sarah Palin, a new poll shows.

A CNN/Opinion Research Corp. survey released Thursday also indicates that at the unofficial start of the race for the Republican presidential nomination, the field of possible contenders appears wide open with no front-runner.

Twenty-one percent of Republicans say they would most likely support 2008 GOP White House candidate and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee for their party's 2012 presidential nomination, according to the poll.

The number is 20 percent for another 2008 Republican presidential hopeful, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

Fourteen percent say they support Palin, the former Alaska governor and 2008 GOP vice presidential nominee, with 12 percent backing former House Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia.

The remaining candidates, whose names were all in single digits, are led by Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who also ran for the GOP presidential nomination the last time around, followed by Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, Rep. Mike Pence of Indiana, and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania.

The poll's release comes as Santorum visits New Hampshire to give a speech about the midterm election results and the future of the Republican party. No one has yet to announce a bid for the GOP nomination.

In a possible general election showdown, Obama leads Palin 52-44 percent among all registered voters.

"Looking ahead to 2012, it may be too early to count Barack Obama out, particularly if Sarah Palin is his opponent," said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. "The former Alaska governor gets a lot of attention, but she is in third place when Republicans are asked to pick a presidential nominee, and in a hypothetical matchup with Obama she is arguably the weakest candidate of the top-tier GOP hopefuls."

In a hypothetical 2012 matchup, Huckabee leads Obama 52 - 44 percent, while Romney has a 50-45 point advantage, which is within the poll's sampling error. Obama holds a 49-47 percent margin over Gingrich.

The poll indicates that four in 10 have a favorable opinion of Palin, with nearly half saying they have an unfavorable view.

Romney has a 36 percent favorable rating and a 29 percent unfavorable rating, with 35 percent unsure.

Forty-two percent say they see Huckabee in a positive light, with 26 percent saying they hold a negative view and just over three in 10 are unsure.

Gingrich has 32 percent favorable rating, with four in 10 saying they have an unfavorable view, and 28 percent unsure.

On the Democratic side, nearly three-quarters of Democrats say they want to see the party renominate Obama in 2012.

Why does that matter?

"No incumbent president has faced a significant primary challenge and gone on to win re-election in November, Holland added. "Contested primaries make incumbents look weak and overly-political, and prevent the incumbent from building up goodwill while the opposition party candidates are fighting among themselves."

Avoiding a primary challenge won't guarantee Obama victory in November 2012, but the fact that 73 percent of Democrats want to see the party renominate Obama may scare off any Democrats who are contemplating a run against him, and that gets him one step closer to a second term.

The poll of 1,006 adult Americans, of which 921 were registered voters, was conducted by phone October 27-30, before the midterm elections.

The sample also included 500 respondents who describe themselves as Republicans or independents who lean Republican, and 453 respondents who describe themselves as Democrats or independents who lean Democratic. The survey's overall sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

CNN also conducted exit polls on Election Day in some of the states that vote first in the presidential primary calendar.

In Iowa, 21 percent of Republicans questioned as they exited the voting booth said that Romney was their likely choice in the 2012 Iowa caucuses, with Huckabee also at 21 percent, Palin at 18 percent, Gingrich at 7 percent and one in five saying they would support another possible candidate.

In New Hampshire, 39 percent of Republicans said that Romney is their likely choice in the state's primary, with Palin at 18 percent, Huckabee at 11 percent, Gingrich at eight percent and 19 percent saying they would back another possible contender.

Twenty-five percent of South Carolina Republicans say Palin would be their likely primary choice, followed by Huckabee at 24 percent, Romney at 21 percent and Gingrich at 10 percent.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 7:45 am 
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Huckabee has surpassed the 50% mark. Beating Obama by 8.

Way to go Huckabee!!
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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 8:15 am 
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I'm interested to see if Rush, Hannity, et al mentions the AOL and CNN polls today on their shows.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 8:18 am 
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wow 8)

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 8:50 am 
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This is a great poll, but notice how it is hidden within the article. The article focuses on Obama being competitive and Sarah Palin getting creamed, but then mentions just briefly how strong Huckabee is.

Out of the current "front runners" of Huckabee, Romney, Palin and Gingrich I think Mike Huckabee is the best candidate (strongest leader and best on the issues), but probably also the only candidate of the 4 who can defeat Obama in the general election.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 8:58 am 
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To me, this is huge! I just got done posting this on my Facebook page. I'm sure my Facebook friends are all tired of my political postings, but I just couldn't help it!


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 9:02 am 
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Here's Politico's post on the poll:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44698.html

Quote:
Poll: Obama trails Huckabee, Romney
By: Andy Barr
November 4, 2010 08:27 AM EDT

President Barack Obama trails both former Governors Mike Huckabee of Arkansas and Mitt Romney of Massachusetts in a potential 2012 matchup, according to a CNN/Opinion Research survey taken before Tuesday's election.

Huckabee tops Obama 52 percent to 44 percent in the survey. Romney leads 50-to-45 percent.

The numbers are troubling for the president, as both Huckabee and Romney routinely lead in early polls for the GOP presidential primary.

But Obama runs significantly stronger against the rest of the field, especially former Alaska GOP Gov. Sarah Palin, leading her 52-to-44 percent in the poll

Obama also seems strong among Democrats, even though his party suffered a major loss on Tuesday.

Seventy-three percent of the self-identified Democrats surveyed said they wanted to see Obama renominated by his party. Few expressed a desire to see a primary challenge to the president.

The poll of 921 registered voters was conducted Oct. 27-30 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 9:18 am 
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This gives Huckabee more favorable coverage...hopefully this continues to spread.

People definitely can't give the excuse this year "He can't win"


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 9:25 am 
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This is great news! The presidency is in sight. The bad news is that the problems facing our nation are enormous. Should Mike become president he will face a daunting task, and he and we need to be ready for the challenge with the right ideas and policies.

When I say the problems facing our nation are enormous, most people would immediately think of the national debt and economic recession/depression. But, much like a high fever, or a headache, these are just the symptoms. The underlying problems that cause the symptoms are moral decay. This is why we need to be praying for our country and our leaders and our future leaders such as Mike to have the wisdom to see the roots of the problem and to seek to eradicate the evil root. “The love of money is the root of all kinds of evil” and that is a good place to start.

Government is ordained by God to encourage good behavior and to discourage bad behavior. Anything outside of this is beyond their Divine mandate. To fulfill this mandate government has to be able to tell the difference and not call what is evil good or what is good evil. Let us pray that those in power and those who will come into power will have the eyes to see the difference.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 10:10 am 
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Here are the poll details: http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/image ... rel15d.pdf

Matchup:

Huckabee 52%
Obama 44%

Romney 50%
Obama 45%

Obama 49%
Gingrich 47%

Obama 52%
Palin 44%

Who do Republicans want to be their 2012 nominee?

21% Mike Huckabee
20% Mitt Romney
14% Sarah Palin
12% Newt Gingrich
7% Paul
3% Barbour
3% Pawlenty
3% Pence
2% Santorum


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 10:35 am 
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Very, very encouraging. I would think this would have a big impact on Mike's thinking. Now if this could translate into $. But maybe the thing he fought in 2008 - electability - would become the thing that propels him in 2012.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 10:51 am 
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Absolutely tremendous! I don't know how the talking head crowd can keep ignoring Huckabee with polls like this out there. What's it going to take to wake these people up and get them on our side?


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:09 am 
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Spectacular!

He surpasses the 50% mark with Obama -- at 52%. He has the best net favorable ratings (suggesting electability), so those numbers simply flow together.

And he is on the top of the GOP candidates....

Note that both Palin and Gingrich are in net unfavorable territory and that Obama beats Palin (52 to 44) by the exact margin that Huckabee beats Obama.

Wow -- you cannot say it better than that.

The only factor unknown is where Obama -- and the economy -- will be in 2011 and going into 2012.

But these are simply outstanding results, right out of the gate post 2010 interim elections.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:23 am 
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Time to get the Huckabee for President signs out of the barn. I know it's early but they have been sitting there for over two years and are ready to be put to work again.

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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:23 am 
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Here's a post by The Hill:

http://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing- ... ma-in-2012

Quote:

Poll: Huckabee fares best against Obama in 2012
By Michael O'Brien - 11/04/10 09:32 AM ET

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee fares best against President Obama in a test of several Republicans' strength nationally in 2012.

Huckabee and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) have an early advantage on Obama, two years before voters head to the polls for the next presidential election, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll released Thursday.

Fifty-two percent of registered voters would elect Huckabee over Obama if the 2012 election were held today, while 44 percent would choose Obama. Romney enjoys a 50-45 percent advantage over Obama.

Two other candidates tested against Obama — former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) — fared less well.

Fifty-two percent of registered voters would choose Obama if he were running against Palin, who drew support from 44 percent. Obama would best Gingrich 49-47 percent.

The polls underscore the public's frustrations with Obama as expressed in Tuesday's elections, when a Republican wave helped the GOP retake the House and eat into Democrats' Senate majority. The party is now shifting, though, to 2012, the opportunity that presents Republicans' "only" real option to being able to advance their agenda, according to remarks on Thursday by Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.).

Republican voters shift now to determining which candidate is most viable to take on Obama in 2012. The CNN poll suggested an early pecking order in the primary races over the next two years.

Twenty-one percent of Republicans said their choice would be Huckabee, followed by 20 percent who backed Romney, 14 percent who supported Palin, 12 percent who wanted Gingrich and 7 percent who preferred Rep. Ron Paul (Texas.). Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Rep. Mike Pence (Ind.) all checked in at 3 percent.

The poll, conducted Oct. 27-30, has a 3 percent margin of error for registered voters and a 4.5 percent margin of error among the subsample of Republicans.



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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:32 am 
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Another observation: Huckabee is leading Obama by a wider margin than Obama beat McCain by in 2008. Not bad. An 8 point victory would be quite impressive.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:51 am 
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National Journal post:

http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.co ... -obama.php

Quote:

2012 Poll: Obama Trails Huckabee, Romney

It's very early, but a new poll suggests that Pres. Obama starts his 2012 campaign trailing two potential Republican challengers.

The CNN/Opinion Research poll, released Thursday, shows that a day after the country delivered a crushing defeat to his party in the midterm elections, Obama needs to begin rebuilding his political standing if he wants to be successful in 2012.

Obama trails former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R). He holds leads over former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.).

The president trails Huckabee -- who the White House said in a New York Times story in October would be a formidable challenger -- by the biggest margin, 52 percent to 44 percent. Obama trails Romney by five points -- 50 percent to 45 percent.

Huckabee also leads the GOP field when Republicans were asked who they would like to be the nominee. Huckabee pulled 21 percent in that question to Romney's 20 percent, Palin's 14 percent and Gingrich's 12 percent.

Obama leads Palin by the biggest margin -- 52 percent to 44 percent. The poll also found that nearly have of respondents -- 49 percent -- have an unfavorable view of Palin.

The president led Gingrich narrowly -- 49 percent to 47 percent.

The CNN/Opinion Research poll surveyed 921 registered voters and was conducted Oct. 27 to 30. It had a margin of error of +/- 3 percent.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:52 am 
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David Brody at CNN:

http://blogs.cbn.com/thebrodyfile/archi ... -2012.aspx

Quote:
Can Mike Huckabee Defeat President Obama in 2012?

Check out the following CNN/Opinion Research poll. Could Mike Huckabee beat President Obama in 2012? From an oratory “aw shucks” standpoint, Huckabee may be the closest thing to Reagan that the GOP has. The Club for Growth folks will go after him in the primaries again but if conservative Evangelical leadership rise up in 2012 *unlike they did in 2008) in support of Huckabee then watch out.

Read below:

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee fares best against President Obama in a test of several Republicans' strength nationally in 2012.

Huckabee and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney (R) have an early advantage on Obama, two years before voters head to the polls for the next presidential election, according to a CNN/Opinion Research poll released Thursday.

Fifty-two percent of registered voters would elect Huckabee over Obama if the 2012 election were held today, while 44 percent would choose Obama. Romney enjoys a 50-45 percent advantage over Obama.

Two other candidates tested against Obama — former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (R) and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) — fared less well.

Fifty-two percent of registered voters would choose Obama if he were running against Palin, who drew support from 44 percent. Obama would best Gingrich 49-47 percent.


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 11:59 am 
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Drudge now has a link to the story near the top center of his page! Spread the word, Huckabee in 2012!!!


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PostPosted: Thu Nov 04, 2010 12:03 pm 
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Grandville wrote:
Drudge now has a link to the story near the top center of his page! Spread the word, Huckabee in 2012!!!



WOW! This must be big news if Drudge says so [pardon my sarcasm]!


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