Hucks Army - Faith. Family. Freedom. [Grassroots] JOIN HUCKS ARMY | GET INVOLVED | FUNDRAISING | LINKS | LEADERSHIP | ABOUT
It is currently Mon Mar 30, 2020 9:28 am

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 5 posts ] 
Author Message
PostPosted: Wed Nov 10, 2010 5:09 pm 
Offline
***** General
User avatar

Joined: Sun Mar 09, 2008 11:48 pm
Posts: 2617
Location: Indiana
Likes: 77
Liked: 183
http://www.arkansasbusiness.com/article ... 928.136677

Quote:

AP-GfK Poll Finds Sarah Palin Polarizing, Mike Huckabee Favorable Among GOP's 2012 Field
By The Associated Press - 11/10/2010 2:32:53 PM

WASHINGTON - Sarah Palin is the most polarizing of the potential 2012 Republican presidential candidates, while impressions of Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney lean more positive, according to an Associated Press-GfK poll. As for the rest - Pawlenty, Barbour, Thune, Daniels - most Americans say, "Who?"

The election, of course, is far away, and polls this early largely reflect name recognition and a snapshot of current popularity. A year before the last presidential election, the top names in public opinion polls were Rudy Giuliani for the Republicans and Hillary Rodham Clinton for the Democrats. Neither won their party's nomination.

But jockeying among the dozen-plus Republicans eyeing a chance to challenge President Barack Obama is under way. Soon, they will be slogging their way to living rooms in snowy Iowa, New Hampshire and other early primary states.

Palin, the former Alaska governor and 2008 vice presidential nominee, is the best-kn own and most divisive of the bunch. In the wake of her high-profile role in endorsing candidates all over the country, 46 percent of Americans view her favorably, 49 percent unfavorably, and 5 percent don't know enough about her to form an opinion.

Her "don't know" score is considerably lower than those registered by other possible candidates tested in the poll.

Huckabee, the former Arkansas governor who won the 2008 GOP Iowa caucus, received the highest favorability rating, 49 percent. About one in four people has no opinion of him, and 27 percent view him unfavorably.

Romney, the former Massachusetts governor who ran in 2008, had similar results. Nearly a quarter of all Americans have no opinion about him, while 46 percent view him favorably, and 31 percent unfavorably.

In terms of winning the 2012 nomination, the question is how Republican-leaning Americans view the contenders. Palin comes out on top. Among adults who identify themselves as Republi cans or GOP-leaning independents, 79 percent view her favorably, and 17 percent unfavorably.

These findings worry many Republican officials. The poll suggests Palin might be able to win the nomination. But among independents_they could be the deciding factor in the general election - just 43 percent hold a favorable view of Palin, compared with 61 percent with a positive view of Obama.

And with half of independents viewing Palin unfavorably, she would have to work hard to persuade a majority of voters to back her.

Republican Rep. Spencer Bachus of Alabama recently said Palin's support for tea party-backed candidates cost the GOP control of the Senate.

Elsewhere among the poll's Republican respondents, 74 percent viewed Huckabee favorably, 10 percent unfavorably. Sixty-four percent viewed Romney favorably, 18 percent unfavorably. For former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, it was 68 percent favorable, 21 percent unfavorable.

Other possible candidates are largely unknown, even among self-identified Republican or GOP-leaning adults. The breakdown:

-Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, 28 percent favorable, 13 percent unfavorable, 59 percent no opinion.

-Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour, 27 percent favorable, 14 percent favorable, 58 percent no opinion.

-Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, 24 percent favorable, 13 percent unfavorable, 63 percent no opinion.

-South Dakota Sen. John Thune, 20 percent favorable, 10 percent unfavorable and 70 percent no opinion.

The AP-GfK Poll was conducted Nov. 3-8, 2010, by GfK Roper Public Affairs and Corporate Communications. It involved landline and cell phone interviews with 1, 000 adults nationwide. It has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points for all surveyed, and a 6.4 percent margin of error among the Republicans surveyed.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed Nov 10, 2010 5:40 pm 
Offline
Major General

Joined: Thu Mar 06, 2008 11:42 am
Posts: 799
Likes: 0
Liked: 54
Question: What happens if Palin endorses Romney fairly early, say before Florida or even SC? Does her support go to Romney or does her unfavorables transfer to him?


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed Nov 10, 2010 6:17 pm 
Offline
***** General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 30, 2007 1:52 pm
Posts: 4803
Location: Texas
Likes: 90
Liked: 259
Quote:
http://www.gop12.com/2010/11/palin-huck-most-liked.html

Quote:
Favorability rating:

a. Mike Huckabee 74%/10% for +64%.

b. Sarah Palin 79%/17% for +62%.

c. Newt Gingrich 68%/21% for +47%.

d. Mitt Romney 64%/21% for +43%.

Fav ratings among all respondents:

a. Mike Huckabee 49%/27% for +22%.

b. Sarah Pain 46%/49% for -3%.

c. Mitt Romney 46%/31% for +15%.

_________________
ConservTexan

http://ilikemikehuckabee2012.blogspot.com/


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed Nov 10, 2010 7:48 pm 
Offline
Lieutenant General

Joined: Thu Nov 01, 2007 12:01 pm
Posts: 884
Location: Indianapolis
Likes: 166
Liked: 73
Am I understanding this correctly? With a margin of error (MOE) +/- 6.4, wouldnt that mean Palin could be at 72.6 and Huckabee at 80.4?
Don't you love statistics? You can get them to say whatever it is you want to say.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Wed Nov 10, 2010 8:11 pm 
Offline
*** General
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 4:47 pm
Posts: 1361
Location: Michigan
Likes: 7
Liked: 115
byourCreator wrote:
Question: What happens if Palin endorses Romney fairly early, say before Florida or even SC? Does her support go to Romney or does her unfavorables transfer to him?


It wouldn't matter who Palin endorsed. Romney's support comes from the moderates in the party and Huckabee's support is from conservatives. Conservatives are more numerous in the Republican Party, so it takes unusual circumstances for a moderate to win the nomination, such as what happened in 2008 with conservatives divided among multiple candidates.


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 5 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Jump to:  
cron
POWERED_BY