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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 4:13 pm 
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Wow! Huckabee ties Romney for the top of the new Michigan PPP Poll released today.

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com ... mbers.html


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 4:36 pm 
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This link can be shared: http://www.hucksarmy.com/2010/12/10/huc ... -michigan/

PPP surveyed 400 usual Michigan Republican primary voters from December 3rd to 6th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-4.9%.

* Huckabee 22%
* Romney 22%
* Palin 18%
* Gingrich 15%
* Paul 10%
* Pawlenty 3%
* Daniels 2%.

Compare this to the 2008 GOP primary results for Michigan:
* Romney 39%
* McCain 30%
* Huckabee 16%
* Paul 6%


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 4:41 pm 
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Good to see that Huckabee does well in MI. I look forward to seeing Aaron post this at ROS.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 5:03 pm 
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WOW! another great poll for Huckabee! He has turned his national polling strength wins into state wins or 2nd place wins. This looks really good for Huckabee.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 5:16 pm 
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AWESOME!!! More evidence he is breaking out of the "southern evangelical candidate."

Romney has to be sweating about his recent polling numbers.

This is a big one.

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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 5:38 pm 
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Romney is -17
Huckabee is +6
Paul is +4

The present set comes to 92%
The 2008 set comes to 91% so roughly the same percentage unaccounted for.
Palin, Gingrich, Pawlenty, and Daniels make up 38% which is all of McCain’s 30% plus 8%.

Huckabee and Paul have advanced by a combined total of 10% while Romney has declined by 17%. However, I seriously doubt that very many if any former Romney supporters have moved to Huckabee or Paul. Therefore, I would suggest that this poll is just another example of how Palin, Gingrich, Pawlenty, and Daniels are taking from the same pool as Romney, not the same pool as Huckabee or Paul.

Romney is hurt by a large field, while Huckabee grows stronger. So much for the theory that Palin competes for the same voters as Huckabee. If people want to go on believing that then let them, but polls such as this should not be much comfort to them if they would think about it. If it were really true that Huckabee draws from the same pool as Palin then all the others may as well pack it in now, because if Palin does not get in, or exits early, then Huckabee would walk all over the others. The reality appears to be that she takes more from Romney than from Huckabee.

It seems to me that we Huckabee supporters should be encouraging Palin and Gingrich to run along with Pawlenty and Daniels. The more the merrier. That doesn’t mean we should not continue to point out their problems and sound reasons why we might not want to see them receive the nomination, but as far as advancing Huckabee, it is becoming clear that they help him in many polls by reducing Romney. If Palin or Gingrich do not run then Romney probably wins this poll. If Romney doesn’t run then either Palin or Gingrich or both give Huckabee a difficult time in Michigan.

All of them in during the first few primaries appears to be the best scenario for a Huckabee win early.


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PostPosted: Fri Dec 10, 2010 5:53 pm 
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Iowans Rock wrote:
AWESOME!!! More evidence he is breaking out of the "southern evangelical candidate."

I don't know what you mean. The last state poll he won was that good old southern state Montana, and here he is tying for another solid south state in Michigan. Of course, those only count as southern states if your from Canada, but never mind, he is just a regional candidate right? He really needs to work on expanding his appeal.


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