Hucks Army - Faith. Family. Freedom. [Grassroots] JOIN HUCKS ARMY | GET INVOLVED | FUNDRAISING | LINKS | LEADERSHIP | ABOUT
It is currently Thu Jul 09, 2020 5:10 pm

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4 posts ] 
Author Message
PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2012 3:51 pm 
Offline
*** General
User avatar

Joined: Thu Oct 25, 2007 4:47 pm
Posts: 1361
Location: Michigan
Likes: 7
Liked: 115
The Gallup tracking poll has:
Romney 30%
Gingrich 25%
Paul 13%
Santorum 12%


That leaves another 20% who are undecided.

A week ago Romney led Gingrich 37-14.



Post by EricB Liked by: FL4Huck
Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2012 4:01 pm 
Offline
***** General
User avatar

Joined: Thu Jan 10, 2008 7:47 pm
Posts: 4564
Location: Texas
Likes: 554
Liked: 523
Oh, if only!!!! You might want to subtract the "to" from your subject line! :lol:



Post by QuoVadisAnima Liked by: mxnwilson
Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2012 5:05 pm 
Offline
***** General
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 28, 2008 10:58 am
Posts: 3019
Likes: 0
Liked: 190
Wow....that's impressive...


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2012 5:16 pm 
Offline
Lieutenant General
User avatar

Joined: Sun Dec 30, 2007 7:19 pm
Posts: 1044
Likes: 8
Liked: 208
The way Gallup appears to do this is on a rolling 4 day average. This poll was taken Wed, Thur, Fri, & Sat., but most all of Saturday would have been done before the SC results came in. This means that 2 days were before the airing of the debate Thursday evening, and none of those days factored in Newt's win Saturday night.

And still I'd bet that the results for Friday and Saturday showed Newt pulling even or slightly ahead. I think the last Rasmussen national poll showed Newt within 3, and that was before either debate last week if I'm not mistaken.

The really good news is that if you judge the Romney campaign by what Mitt has been saying, they don't seem to grasp how big of a shift this is. For instance they seem to think that the results in SC were due to it being a southern evangelical conservative state next to Newt's backyard. That would account for a 5 point win, but a 12.5 point win is something else. Florida polls coming out tomorrow and Tuesday will not have fully factored in Saturday's win for Newt and will probably show a race that is very close. This could again give the Romney people a false confidence that the race has simply tightened up and just like in SC they don't see the shift that is coming. If they lose Florida by 5 or more it could be too late if it takes them until then to realize how much the race has changed.

And don't count out Santorum. If Romney falters in Florida, and the race looks up for grabs then there are a couple of states coming up (Michigan & Ohio) that have a strong manufacturing base that he could do well in. If Romney looks weak, and Newt looks too flamboyant then voters could give Rick another look.


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 4 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 3 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Jump to:  
cron
POWERED_BY