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Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st
http://www.forum.hucksarmy.com/viewtopic.php?f=180&t=27079
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Author:  christopher.wilkerson [ Mon Feb 16, 2015 9:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

karrboy84 wrote:
The same polling group has huckabee in 4th in SC because they have Lindsey Graham at 17%! Would Graham really run? And if so, are we going to see another event like 2008 where Huckabee wins Iowa and then would win SC but loses support to graham and its enough to give Bush the win? I think Huck needs 1sts in Iowa and SC to get it to a h2h vs bush (or walker if we're lucky).

I don't think he is running, and even if he did, he wouldn't make it to SC. Graham may be hoping to force foreign policy issues, by getting into forums and debates.

Author:  karrboy84 [ Tue Feb 17, 2015 8:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

christopher.wilkerson wrote:
karrboy84 wrote:
The same polling group has huckabee in 4th in SC because they have Lindsey Graham at 17%! Would Graham really run? And if so, are we going to see another event like 2008 where Huckabee wins Iowa and then would win SC but loses support to graham and its enough to give Bush the win? I think Huck needs 1sts in Iowa and SC to get it to a h2h vs bush (or walker if we're lucky).

I don't think he is running, and even if he did, he wouldn't make it to SC. Graham may be hoping to force foreign policy issues, by getting into forums and debates.


If he runs, it is ONLY to make it to SC! He would be putting all of his chips into a landslide win there with hopes of it spurring the south to vote for him in the SEC primary. Hopefully he doesn't run at all. We don't need a SC favorite son to run against Huck.

Author:  Peter [ Wed Feb 25, 2015 4:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Walker frontrunner:

Quote:
Walker 25
Paul 13
Huckabee 11
Carson 11
Bush 10
Christie 4
Rubio 4
Santorum 4
Cruz 5
Perry 3
Jindal 2


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2158

Author:  Peter [ Tue Apr 28, 2015 6:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

PPP 4/23 - 4/26

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_42815.pdf

Walker 23
Rubio 13
Bush 12
Huckabee 10
Paul 10
Cruz 8
Carson 7
Christie 5
Perry 4

The dynamics haven't changed that much in Iowa it seems...

Author:  Peter [ Wed May 06, 2015 7:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Waiting for the bump in Iowa!

Walker 21
Rubio 13
Paul 13
Cruz 12
Huckabee 11
Carson 7
Bush 5
Christie 3
Perry 3
Santorum 2
Fiorina 2
Kasich 2

4/25 - 5/4 Quinnipiac

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2223

Author:  NWmichigan [ Wed May 06, 2015 1:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

http://ulstermanbooks.com/scott-walker-dominates-iowa-poll-but-dont-underestimate-mike-huckabee/

Scott Walker Dominates Iowa Poll – But Don’t Underestimate Mike Huckabee
Quote:
The fledgling Huckabee campaign is said to already be making significant inroads into Iowa Caucus voters over the last 24 hours with a growing effort to continue in the coming weeks as Team Huckabee feels a strong showing in Iowa will be essential to obtaining the political donations necessary to extend the campaign past the summer months.



Some are suggesting the former Arkansas governor could see himself polling as high as second place in Iowa by the end of the month.

Author:  Peter [ Wed May 06, 2015 2:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

NWmichigan wrote:
http://ulstermanbooks.com/scott-walker-dominates-iowa-poll-but-dont-underestimate-mike-huckabee/

Scott Walker Dominates Iowa Poll – But Don’t Underestimate Mike Huckabee
Quote:
The fledgling Huckabee campaign is said to already be making significant inroads into Iowa Caucus voters over the last 24 hours with a growing effort to continue in the coming weeks as Team Huckabee feels a strong showing in Iowa will be essential to obtaining the political donations necessary to extend the campaign past the summer months.



Some are suggesting the former Arkansas governor could see himself polling as high as second place in Iowa by the end of the month.


Great news :pray

Author:  WalterCan [ Thu May 07, 2015 2:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

One thing that significantly differentiates Huckabee's numbers from the others is that Huckabee's numbers are hard. On the other hand with the possible exception of Paul, all the other candidate's numbers are soft and fluid. That means that the Huckabee campaign has something to build on that isn't based on hype or being the flavor of the day.

I would contend that Cruz and Carson both have very soft support right now, and both will see declines once the race starts getting serious in November. I think Rubio and Walker are going to slide up and down based on perceived strengths and weaknesses. Only Huckabee and Paul have built-in voters and organizations that are ready to build on.

Based on that, I see the top three in the Iowa caucus consisting of Paul, Huckabee, and someone else, with the order to be determined. I don't think Paul can win because I believe that although his supporters are fiercely loyal there will always be a ceiling that will keep him from doing any better than second. That gives Huckabee a reasonable shot at winning the Iowa caucus.

One Big Wildcard that is looming out there is the upcoming Supreme Court decision in June on gay marriage. If it goes as I believe it will, and the Supreme Court rules in favor of gay marriage then this is going to fire up conservative caucus goers and could be an extra edge for whichever candidate catches that wave. Certainly Huckabee could be that candidate.

Author:  Peter [ Sun May 31, 2015 3:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Been awhile since Huckabee has been on top of an Iowa poll... :?

Don't know why Rubio is so low in this poll compared to previous polls though.

Walker 17
Paul 10
Carson 10
Huckabee 9
Bush 9
Rubio 6
Santorum 6
Cruz 5
Christie 4
Trump 4
Perry 3
Fiorina 2
Kasich 2
Jindal 1

And such a long list of candidates...

5/25 - 5/29

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/05/30/iowa-poll-scott-walker-seven-point-lead/28230505/

Author:  Peter [ Thu Jun 04, 2015 9:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Another one. This poll was taken at the same time as the previous one, but Rubio's and Paul's poll numbers don't match up at all.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/iowa-poll-walker-leads-gop-field-clinton-domination-continues/

Walker 17
Rubio 13
Carson 12
Bush 10
Huckabee 8
Cruz 6
Santorum 6
Fiorina 5
Paul 4
Christie 4
Trump
Perry
Kasich
Jindal

Author:  Peter [ Tue Jun 16, 2015 4:35 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Solid numbers.

Walker 18
Huckabee 10
Paul 10
Bush 10
Rubio 7
Christie 6
Carson 5
Trump 5
Cruz 4
Fiorina 2

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_IA_v1_AD.pdf

If Walker stumbles, this would give an opening to Huckabee.

Author:  Peter [ Wed Jul 01, 2015 7:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Disappointing numbers in Iowa... scratch :tinfoil :?:

Walker 18
Trump 10
Carson 10
Paul 9
Cruz 9
Bush 8
Rubio 7
Huckabee 5
Santorum 4
Perry 4
Fiorina 3
Jindal 3
Kasich 2
Christie 1

6/20 - 6/29
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia07012015_Is38vbd.pdf

:pray

Author:  Peter [ Fri Jul 10, 2015 7:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Back to "normal" (actually this poll was taken around the same time as the previous one):

Walker 18
Bush 12
Paul 10
Huckabee 10
Rubio 9
Carson 5
Trump 7
Cruz 8
Santorum 4
Christie 5
Perry 4
Fiorina 3
Jindal 2
Kasich 1

http://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/polls-walker-clinton-leading-races-in-iowa/article_1250ff58-2f6d-5194-a750-fe227514fbee.html

Author:  Peter [ Mon Aug 10, 2015 3:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Iowa doesn't heart Huckabee so much at the moment :( :( :(

Trump 19
Walker 12
Carson 12
Bush 11
Fiorina 10
Cruz 9
Huckabee 6
Rubio 6
Paul 3
Kasich 3
Jindal 2
Perry 2
Santorum 2
Christie 1
Graham 0

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_81015.pdf

Author:  goalieman [ Mon Aug 10, 2015 6:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Really does appear that alot of Huck's support has shifted over to Carson. People like the fresh, new guy in politics and Carson fills that void nicely for many. Huck's challange is to win most of that back. Loooong way to go till anyone casts an actual vote.

Author:  sherri79 [ Mon Aug 10, 2015 6:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

I just cannot understand the attraction people have to trump!! He is an idiot and he has no business being president! what are poeple seeing? :wall

Author:  christopher.wilkerson [ Tue Aug 11, 2015 8:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Just for comparison and context, a September 2007 L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll yielded the following results in Iowa:


Romney ..............28
Thompson ..............16
Giuliani ..............16
Huckabee ..............8
McCain .............. 7
Tancredo .............. 3
Brownback ...............2
Paul .............. 2
Hunter ..............1
Don't Know ..............17


http://media.trb.com/media/acrobat/2007-11/33680430.pdf

Far from the actual results.

Author:  goalieman [ Tue Aug 11, 2015 9:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

Though I'd like the polling numbers to be better (that new Rasmussen national poll is hopefully an outlier), it's waaay to early to put much stock in them right now. People vote, not polls.

Author:  Chadballer [ Wed Aug 12, 2015 1:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

sherri79 wrote:
I just cannot understand the attraction people have to trump!! He is an idiot and he has no business being president! what are poeple seeing? :wall


They're seeing someone who is strong, speaks his mind and won't get pushed around. In light of 8 years of Obama getting pushed around, bowing, getting taken advantage of at the negotiating table with Iran etc. that's a powerful image.

Author:  Peter [ Wed Aug 12, 2015 3:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Iowa Poll: Huckabee 1st

goalieman wrote:
Though I'd like the polling numbers to be better (that new Rasmussen national poll is hopefully an outlier), it's waaay to early to put much stock in them right now. People vote, not polls.

It's also about peaking at the right time, which means not now. The frontrunner(s) now might very well not be on top come February.

Too low poll numbersnow are not good either though... discouraging for fundraising, media reporting, etc.

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