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Other Primary Polls http://www.forum.hucksarmy.com/viewtopic.php?f=180&t=27091 |
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Author: | Peter [ Wed Jun 10, 2015 4:41 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Ohio Kasich 19 Walker 13 Carson 13 Bush 12 Rubio 12 Paul 9 Huckabee 6 Cruz 5 Christie 4 http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_OH_61015.pdf |
Author: | Peter [ Thu Jun 18, 2015 10:28 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Ohio - Kasich vs. the rest. Kasich 19 Bush 9 Walker 8 Huckabee 7 Rubio 7 Paul 7 Carson 6 Cruz 6 Christie 3 Perry 2 Santorum 2 Graham 2 Trump 1 Fiorina 1 Florida - Bush vs Rubio Bush 20 Rubio 18 Walker 9 Carson 7 Huckabee 6 Paul 5 Perry 4 Christie 3 Cruz 3 Trump 3 Fiorina 2 Kasich 1 Jindal 1 Santorum 1 Pennsylvania - no frontrunner Rubio 12 Paul 11 Bush 10 Carson 10 Walker 9 Santorum 7 Huckabee 6 Christie 6 Cruz 5 Trump 4 Perry, Fiorina, Kasich, Graham 1 6/4 - 6/15 http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ps/ps06182015_Sk32gth.pdf |
Author: | Peter [ Wed Jul 01, 2015 3:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Michigan - middle of the field. Walker 15 Bush 14 Carson 14 Trump 14 Rubio 9 Huckabee 8 Cruz 5 Christie 5 Paul 4 Fiorina 3 Kasich 3 Santorum 2 Perry 1 Graham 1 Huck fares best in the hypothetical matchup against Clinton after Paul and Walker (-5). http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_MI_6302015.pdf |
Author: | Peter [ Fri Jul 24, 2015 11:55 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Florida - with Bush and Rubio in the race, I don't think Gov. Huckabee (or maybe anybody else) has much of a chance of winning that state. Bush 28 Rubio 16 Walker 13 Trump 11 Huckabee 5 Cruz 4 Paul 3 Kasich 3 Fiorina 2 Carson 1 Jindal 1 Perry 0 Christie 0 Graham 0 Santorum 0 https://t.e2ma.net/webview/fe2ue/a12adeab8e567e17eea79fe807c41ea4 |
Author: | Peter [ Fri Sep 04, 2015 9:20 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Who is gonna derail the Trump & Carson Express? Florida Trump 29 Carson 25 Bush 19 Rubio 6 Fiorina 5 Cruz 3 Kasich 3 Huckabee 2 Walker 1 Paul 0 Christie 2 Jindal 1 Perry 0 Graham 0 http://savannahnow.com/elections/2015-09-04/poll-clinton-trump-lead-florida Georgia Trump 34 Carson 25 Bush 11 Huckabee 5 Walker 2 Cruz 6 Kasich 3 Rubio 2 Christie 2 Paul 0 Fiorina 5 Perry 0 Jindal 0 Graham 0 http://jacksonville.com/news/georgia/2015-09-03/story/trump-clinton-still-lead-georgia-leads-are-shrinking-poll-shows |
Author: | goalieman [ Fri Sep 04, 2015 11:59 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
I have a theory on these polls that I think is going on. Imagine you're the person being surveyed and the pollster says "I'm going to read off 17 names who are running for the GOP nomination" and they always start with whoever at the moment is in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc, place. No one wants to hear 17 names being read off to them, so when they hear a name in the first 2 or 3 mentioned, they voice support for one of them so they don't have to hear the whole list of names. This produces the same results in so many polls, IMO. I'd be willing to bet that if the order of names were changed up, you'd get differing results. I find it interesting that in the Reuters-Ipsos poll, which is done via an internet survey, and thus all the names are listed side by side, Huck did very well in. Just a theory, but I'm sticking to it. ![]() |
Author: | karrboy84 [ Tue Sep 08, 2015 11:59 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
goalieman wrote: I have a theory on these polls that I think is going on. Imagine you're the person being surveyed and the pollster says "I'm going to read off 17 names who are running for the GOP nomination" and they always start with whoever at the moment is in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc, place. No one wants to hear 17 names being read off to them, so when they hear a name in the first 2 or 3 mentioned, they voice support for one of them so they don't have to hear the whole list of names. This produces the same results in so many polls, IMO. I'd be willing to bet that if the order of names were changed up, you'd get differing results. I find it interesting that in the Reuters-Ipsos poll, which is done via an internet survey, and thus all the names are listed side by side, Huck did very well in. Just a theory, but I'm sticking to it. ![]() The names are randomized in any phone poll I have ever heard of. How about the theory where people currently are jumping on the bandwagon of the new guys; it happens every cycle. If we learned anything from 2011-12, it is that the people leading right now have no greater shot to win the nomination than those under 5%. The most recent national poll only had 2 guys over 6%!!! Thats insane. This race is not going to come down to Carson vs Trump; its just not. I have more political experience than the two of them combined. |
Author: | goalieman [ Tue Sep 08, 2015 6:02 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
karrboy84 wrote: goalieman wrote: The names are randomized in any phone poll I have ever heard of. How about the theory where people currently are jumping on the bandwagon of the new guys; it happens every cycle. If we learned anything from 2011-12, it is that the people leading right now have no greater shot to win the nomination than those under 5%. The most recent national poll only had 2 guys over 6%!!! Thats insane. This race is not going to come down to Carson vs Trump; its just not. I have more political experience than the two of them combined. Do we know for sure that they are randomizing the names in those polls? ![]() It's just a theory I'm throwing out there and I've made the same point about Trump and Carson as you have here as well. |
Author: | Peter [ Wed Sep 09, 2015 12:23 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
karrboy84 wrote: The names are randomized in any phone poll I have ever heard of. How about the theory where people currently are jumping on the bandwagon of the new guys; it happens every cycle. If we learned anything from 2011-12, it is that the people leading right now have no greater shot to win the nomination than those under 5%. The most recent national poll only had 2 guys over 6%!!! Thats insane. This race is not going to come down to Carson vs Trump; its just not. I have more political experience than the two of them combined. Ditto. ![]() |
Author: | Peter [ Thu Sep 17, 2015 9:28 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Not-too-bad numbers for Michigan. Carson 24 Trump 22 Bush 8 Huckabee 6 Rubio 4 Fiorina 3 Cruz 3 Kasich 2 Walker 2 Christie 1 Paul 2 Santorum 0 Jindal 0 http://www.mlive.com/lansing-news/index.ssf/2015/09/ben_carson_donald_trump_michigan.html |
Author: | Peter [ Wed Jan 20, 2016 2:59 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Florida Trump at 48? Really? Trump 48 Cruz 16 Rubio 11 Bush 10 Carson 3 Christie 3 Huckabee 3 Paul 3 Kasich 2 Fiorina 1 Santorum http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.Vp-0ROjyuUl |
Author: | TheValuesVoter [ Wed Jan 20, 2016 4:41 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Other Primary Polls |
Peter wrote: Florida Trump at 48? Really? Trump 48 Cruz 16 Rubio 11 Bush 10 Carson 3 Christie 3 Huckabee 3 Paul 3 Kasich 2 Fiorina 1 Santorum http://business.fau.edu/departments/economics/business-economics-polling/bepi-polls/index.aspx#.Vp-0ROjyuUl Too much exposure to the sun. |
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