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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 9:10 am 
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Barbour's Decision Puts The Spotlight On Huckabee


Republicans are sorting out the impact of Mississippi Governor Haley Barbour's announcement yesterday that he will not seek the 2012 GOP presidential nomination.

The quick take is that his departure will (1) free up a lot of political talent (that would have otherwise worked on Barbour's campaign), (2) free up a lot of political money (that would have otherwise gone to Barbour's campaign committee), and (3) cleared the road a bit for Indiana Governor Mitch Daniels, a friend of Barbour's who said yesterday that he would have endorsed him had he chosen to run.


Now that he's out, the GOP race hinges on whether former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee decides to get in. His former campaign chairman, Ed Rollins, says that he will. If he does, he seems a prohibitive favorite to win the Iowa caucuses, a likely loser in the New Hampshire primary (to Mitt Romney), thus setting up a showdown between the Christian and the Mormon in South Carolina. Huckabee wins that in a walk and probably sweeps the remaining Southern primaries and becomes, de facto, the GOP nominee. Republican presidential candidates who carry the South in the primaries win the GOP nomination.

Assuming Huckabee does run (and we assume that), the departure of Haley Barbour is especially bad news for Mitt Romney, who needed another "southern" candidate in the South Carolina primary to draw votes away from Huckabee. Head-to-head against Huckabee, Romney has virtually no chance of winning anything but the coastal counties in South Carolina. With Barbour in the mix, there was at least the possibility that some of Huckabee's good ole boy voters would wander over to the Barbour column.

The social conservative wing of the party isn't going to not have a candidate. The social conservative wing of the party is the party. Socially conservative voters comprise the majority of GOP primary voters. It is inconceivable that they would not have "one of their own" in the race.




Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/barbours ... z1KjDTiGAZ

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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 12:14 pm 
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Here's another story along this line except for Beasley is quoted:

Quote:
Haley Barbour bail out boosts Mike Huckabee, ex-S.C. Gov. David Beasley says

A top former Mike Huckabee supporter in South Carolina told POLITICO the departure of Haley Barbour from the GOP primary field "overwhelmingly" benefits the former Arkansas governor – not Mitch Daniels, as many have suggested.
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"[My] first take on it," former South Carolina Gov. David Beasley said, is "it primarily, overwhelmingly benefits Huckabee."

Huckabee was widely seen as likely to split the southern vote with Barbour, the governor of Mississippi. Without Barbour in the race, Huckabee could be poised - if he runs - to secure a hefty portion of voter support and endorsements.

Beasley suggested that Huckabee now has a clearer path to running, if he chooses to, although he said he has not spoken to him today.

However, chatter in South Carolina GOP circles was louder on Wednesday surrounding Huckabee and whether the loss of Barbour, a fellow southerner, would make the 2008 Iowa caucus winner more inclined to run.

But Beasley suggested that Huckabee doesn't need to make up his mind before the fall.

"I would assume by mid-fall he's got to start sending some pretty serious signals out there," he said.

Others have argued that waiting so long will hurt Huckabee in Iowa, which he won last time and where expectations would be high for him.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0411/53764.html#ixzz1Kfah0QdI

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PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2011 12:24 pm 
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PostPosted: Sun May 01, 2011 4:44 pm 
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I'm so relieved that Barbour isn't running. He seems like an OK guy and he handled the aftermath of Katrina with skill and grace but if he had been our nominee then we could forget about gaining any of the black vote. His comments about things being "not that bad" in his area of the South came across as extremely insensitive to me. You just can't know how bad it was if you were a white child. Barbour can't possible know what it was like to be black in the south in the fifties and the sixties. That's OK. It doesn't make him a bad person but he needed to admit that rather then just lauding his hometown with his own less then reliable memories.

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