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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2011 5:16 pm 
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According to the survey, conducted just before the news of the death of Osama bin Laden, 16 percent of Republicans and independents who lean Republican say they would be likely to support Mike Huckabee for the Republican presidential nomination. The former Arkansas governor ran for the White House in 2008, and while to date he hasn't taken many steps towards launching another campaign, he has definitely not ruled out another bid for his party's nomination.

Fourteen percent say they'd back Donald Trump. The billionaire businessman, real estate mogul and reality TV star says he will announce by June if he's going to run for the White House.

One point back is Mitt Romney, at 13 percent. The former Massachusetts governor and 2008 GOP White House candidate has been adding to his campaign team in recent months and last month launched a presidential exploratory committee.

The poll indicates that 11 percent support Sarah Palin. The former Alaska governor and 2008 Republican vice presidential nominee has not made any serious moves towards launching a campaign, but says she isn't closing any doors.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich and Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, who has run for the White House twice before, both stand at ten percent in the poll. Both men have taken steps towards formally launching campaigns. Everyone else questioned in the survey registered at five percent or less.


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Fifty-nine percent of all Americans dislike the former Alaska Governor and 64 percent have a negative view of Trump, according to the poll. The survey indicates Gingrich also has relatively high unfavorables, but the favorable ratings for Romney and Huckabee outweigh their unfavorables, although both are unknown to more than a quarter of the general public.


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Who does best against Obama? Paul. The congressman from Texas, who also ran as a libertarian candidate for president in 1988 and who is well liked by many in the tea party movement, trails the president by only seven points (52 to 45 percent) in a hypothetical general election showdown. Huckabee trails by eight points, with Romney down 11 points to Obama.

The poll indicates the president leading Gingrich by 17 points, Palin by 19, and Trump by 22 points.


http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/20 ... omination/

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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2011 5:17 pm 
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In other (i.e. fewer) words:

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1. Mike Huckabee 16%

2. Donald Trump 14%

3. Mitt Romney 13%

4. Sarah Palin 11%

5. Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul 10%

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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2011 5:26 pm 
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Paul does best against Obama? That's a shocker. Pretty sure it's just an outlier though.

Wasn't there a poll like two years ago where Paul did best against Obama?


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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2011 5:33 pm 
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Huck leading! :fireworks :fireworks :fireworks

CNN also said today with their new poll:

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GOP primary match-ups are another matter – since the modern era of presidential primaries began in 1972, there have been six times when the GOP nomination was up for grabs. In five of those six election cycles, the eventual GOP winner was leading the polls taken in April of the previous year.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted April 29-May 1, with 1,034 adult Americans questioned by telephone. All interviews were completed before the president announced that bin Laden, the founder and leader of the al Qaeda terrorist network and the man responsible for the 9/11 terrorist attacks, was killed by U.S. forces in Pakistan. The survey’s overall sampling error is plus or minus three percentage points.

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PostPosted: Thu May 05, 2011 5:53 pm 
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Glenn Beck's new chalkboard at Fox News..

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Post by Craig88USC has received Likes: 2 Indiana4Huck, WhatsNotToLike?
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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2011 11:18 am 
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"GOP primary match-ups are another matter - since the modern era of presidential primaries began in 1972, there have been six times when the GOP nomination was up for grabs. In five of those six election cycles, the eventual GOP winner was leading the polls taken in April of the previous year. That may mean little in 2011 since no Republican hopeful has a commanding lead, but it also means that the history books won't let us completely dismiss these polls," adds Holland.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/05/05/cnn-poll-still-no-front-runner-in-the-battle-for-the-gop-nomination/

I looked at the Real Clear Politics polling for April to see if we can "predict" who will win. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/republican_presidential_nomination-1452.html#polls

They don't have the latest CNN poll up yet and I don't know if there are any others they've missed. But, looking at who won each of the polls done during the April time-frame they have listed now; it looks like there's a pretty good chance the winner of the nomination will be either Huckabee, Romney, or Trump. IMO Trump will continue losing support the more people get to know about him and his record. Thus, the race will probably really be between Huckabee and Romney.

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Post by GrannyT Liked by: Craig88USC
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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2011 11:58 am 
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Favorable / Unfavorable

•Mike Huckabee: 46% (42%) {43%} / 27% (26%) {29%} {+19%} :up
•Mitt Romney: 40% (36%) {40%} / 30% (29%) {34%} {+10%}

•Ron Paul: 30% / 27% {+3%}
•Michele Bachmann: 22% / 23% {-1%}
•Tim Pawlenty: 17% / 18% {-1%}
•Mitch Daniels: 14% / 15% {-1%}
•Rick Santorum: 16% / 19% {-3%}
•John Huntsman: 9% / 13% {-4%}

•Newt Gingrich: 30% (32%) {38%} / 44% (40%) {38%} {-14%} :(
•Sarah Palin: 35% (40%) {39%} / 59% (49%) {55%} {-24%} :(
•Donald Trump: 31% / 64% {-33%} :?

Survey of 964 registered voters, including a subsample of 475 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, was conducted April 29 – May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.5 percentage points among Republican and Republican-leaning Independents. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

–Data compilation and analysis courtesy of The Argo Journal.

http://race42012.com/2011/05/06/poll-wa ... ent-823335

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2011 12:00 pm 
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Donna,

Maybe RCP is waiting on the new PPP National poll which is due shortly.

I predict Huck will still be #1 at the RCP Averages then. :pray


(Btw, PPP has hinted in their latest Tweets that Trump has gone from 1st to about 4th)

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PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2011 12:04 pm 
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Make that 5th ... but I do like how The Donald has called Huck his favorite nominee (other than himself :wink: ) and I expect a Trump endorsement is worth a good 5 point bump. And $$$.

Quote:
ppppolls PublicPolicyPolling
Trump was 1st in our national Republican poll last month. Looking like he could well be 5th this month
16 hours ago

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