Thought I would make a new thread for just Michigan polling.

Average of MI polls:
Santorum: 34.9%
Romney: 33.3%
Paul: 11.3%
Gingrich: 8.6%
Undecided: 12.1%

ARG:
Santorum: 38%
Romney: 34%
Paul: 12%
Gingrich: 7%
Undecided: 9%

PPP:
Santorum: 37%
Romney: 33%
Paul: 15%
Gingrich: 10%
Undecided: 5%

Rasmussen:
Santorum: 38%
Romney: 34%
Paul: 10%
Gingrich: 9%
Undecided: 9%

We Ask America:
Romney: 29%
Santorum: 29%
Paul: 12%
Gingrich: 10%
Undecided: 20%

Rosetta Stone:
Romney: 32%
Santorum: 30%
Gingrich: 9%
Paul: 7%
Undecided: 22%

Marist:
Romney: 37%
Santorum: 35%
Paul: 13%
Gingrich: 8%
Undecided: 7%

EPIC/MRA:
Santorum: 37%
Romney: 34%
Paul: 10%
Gingrich: 7%
Undecided: 12%

New Michigan ARG poll:

Polling dates: Feb. 15-16

Santorum: 37% (+4)
Romney: 32% (+5)
Paul: 15% (+3)
Gingrich: 10% (-11)
Undecided: 6% (-1)

Previous ARG poll was Feb. 11-12

Updated the summary post as well.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Santorum is ahead of Romney by 8.2 points according to Real Clear Politics averages. Their chart is very telling. I couldn't figure out how to post the image here so go to the RCP Michigan site.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/mi/michigan_republican_presidential_primary-1589.html

_________________
Psalms 144:1 "Blessed be the LORD my strength, which teacheth my hands to war, and my fingers to fight:"

New PPP results:

Santorum: 37%
Romney: 33%
Paul: 15%
Gingrich: 10%

This is about in line with the other recent polls in Michigan. It's a tight race with still a week to go.

36% say they could change their mind.

_________________
http://homeschoolershearthuckabee.blogspot.com

I think their poll from last week with Santorum up 15 pts was probably the most inaccurate of them all. Rasmussen shows him up only 3 pts.

I saw that Mitt is using Trump in a Michigan ad for drive time. I hope that backfires on the hometown boy.

_________________
"We fought, we dreamed, that dream is still with us."
Ronald Reagan, 1976

TEAM HUCK IOWA
http://www.facebook.com/TeamHuckIowa

I agree that the 15 point lead was inaccurate. Their sample was bad. This one is probably more accurate. Gallup shows Santorum leading nationally, and Michigan is a state that should lean a little bit towards Romney, so the race in Michigan should be very close.

Interesting result from the PPP poll that I expected:

The endorsement from Gov. Snyder of Romney made 13% of voters more likely to support Romney, and 28% less likely. The rest didn't care. Snyder isn't popular among conservatives who voted against him in the primary in 2010.

Here's another tidbit from that PPP poll:

Voters 18-45:
Santorum: 32%
Romney: 28%
Paul: 23%
Gingrich: 12%

Voters 46-65:
Santorum: 44%
Romney: 30%
Paul: 13%
Gingrich: 6%

Voters older than 65:
Romney: 42%
Santorum: 34%
Gingrich: 12%
Paul: 6%


Romney's strength comes from older voters. It's been like that in other states too, but it seems to be really pronounced in Michigan. That's probably because those are the only voters who remember George Romney as Governor. It's among those voters that the Romney name is remembered favorably. Or it could be that older voters just like Romney's establishment-friendly stance.

It is funny how most of Romney's endorsers are net negatives!

New Michigan poll shows it a tie.

We Ask America:
Romney: 29%
Santorum: 29%
Paul: 12%
Gingrich: 10%
Undecided: 20%

Undecideds are really high for a week out from the election.

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/02/20/mi-dead-heat/

I suspect a lot of Santorum's newer support is still waffling between him & the others. The barrage of negative attacks & the MSM's headlines of him the last few days are bound to make people who haven't been following or done much research uneasy. Wednesday's debate will probably be very important for solidifying that support - or losing it, don't you think?

Mitchell Rosetta Michigan 2/20/12:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2 ... I_0220.pdf

Romney 32
Santorum 30
Gingrich 9
Paul 7
Undecided 22

_________________
Ken

The barrage of negative advertising is intense here in Michigan. Most of the ads that I see on TV are from Romney's SuperPAC. There are also ads from Santorum's SuperPAC and from Romney's campaign. All of the Romney or Romney SuperPAC ads that I have seen so far without exception are negative ads attacking Santorum. The Santorum SuperPAC ad is a positive ad promoting Santorum.

I kind of have an interesting perspective on Michigan since I'm originally from Texas. There are lots of people here in Michigan who call themselves conservatives, but who I consider to be moderates. Their definition of "conservative" is difficult than the definition I knew from growing up in Texas. I wouldn't surprise me if Romney pulled it out in Michigan, but it should be close.

Eric,
Has Paul been airing his negative Santorum ad that Rombots at Race42012 are so excited about? http://race42012.com/2012/02/21/ron-pau ... servative/

Rombots give Paul credit for helping dethrone Newt in Iowa and Florida.

_________________
Psalms 144:1 "Blessed be the LORD my strength, which teacheth my hands to war, and my fingers to fight:"

Rasmussen 2/21:
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... an_primary

Santorum 38
Romney 34
Paul 10
Gingrich 9
Undecided 8
Other 1

_________________
Ken

I haven't seen any Ron Paul ads. The majority of the ads are from Restore American PAC.

BTW, I'm updating the first post continually as new polls come in, so the average is the average of all 8 polls out of Michigan that we have. Old polls are replaced when a new one comes in from the same polling outfit.

I think the Ron Paul ads against Santorum are just starting. They pretty much accuse him of supporting Planned Parenthood.

I am so sick of Ron Paul. Some say he is just setting up for Rand in 2016.

_________________
"We fought, we dreamed, that dream is still with us."
Ronald Reagan, 1976

TEAM HUCK IOWA
http://www.facebook.com/TeamHuckIowa

I've seen the Santorum ad with Romney's mud gun several times, a couple from a SuperPac against Santorum, and no Newt or Paul ads. I did have a phone call from Newt on my voicemail at work when I got in this morning. (How did they get that number?)

I had a pretty amazing realization this morning on the way to work: It is less than 1 week until our primary and this morning is the first (and only) time that I have seen a yard sign out in someone's yard (It was for Santorum).

I found that pretty remarkable and uncommon.

_________________
Brett

--Attention Guests--
Join the Discussion!
Click the graphic to join!

There were way less signs in Iowa this time also. They were mostly Santorum and Paul.

_________________
"We fought, we dreamed, that dream is still with us."
Ronald Reagan, 1976

TEAM HUCK IOWA
http://www.facebook.com/TeamHuckIowa

Added this poll to the average.

Marist Poll:
Romney: 37%
Santorum: 35%
Paul: 13%
Gingrich: 8%
Undecided: 7%