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 Post subject: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Mon Feb 13, 2012 11:02 pm 
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Mason-Dixon 2/11/12:
http://www.ledger-enquirer.com/2012/02/ ... ntial.html

Gingrich 43
Romney 29
Santorum 12
Paul 6

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 14, 2012 1:03 am 
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That Mason Dixon poll was taken before the Santorum surge kicked in. A poll taken on 2/9 by Landmark Rosetta showed it tightening with Romney falling to 3rd.

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local-go ... oll/nHZc3/

Gingrich 35
Santorum 26
Romney 16
Paul 5



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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 14, 2012 1:11 am 
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WalterCan wrote:
That Mason Dixon poll was taken before the Santorum surge kicked in. A poll taken on 2/9 by Landmark Rosetta showed it tightening with Romney falling to 3rd.

http://www.wsbtv.com/news/news/local-go ... oll/nHZc3/

Gingrich 35
Santorum 26
Romney 16
Paul 5


Romney third? I like it! :up



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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 14, 2012 1:15 am 
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....And early voting started today in Georgia! :D



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PostPosted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 3:43 am 
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I was wondering - rather than having a thread for every state, which is starting to get a little hard to keep track of (at least for me), would you all be interested in combining them based on those states who are voting on the same day? I went ahead & titled this one for the Super Tuesday polls, but if you all prefer to have one thread for each state (or to use some other categorization), I'll label this one "Georgia Polls" instead so please let me know what you all think!

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Santorum wins straw poll in advance of Georgia rally

A day before a campaign rally in Georgia, Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum won a suburban Atlanta straw poll with 40-percent of the vote. The straw poll was conducted Saturday, Feb. 18 by the Coweta County GOP.


Santorum said the results show that his message of “smaller government, less spending, and strong faith and family is resonating with the great people of Georgia.” He went on to say "Peach State voters realize I'm the consistent conservative in this race who can stop Governor Romney and beat President Obama; I look forward to visiting Georgia many times between now and Super Tuesday."


Continue reading on Examiner.com Santorum wins straw poll in advance of Georgia rally - Atlanta Political Buzz | Examiner.com http://www.examiner.com/political-buzz- ... z1mu9iNdrI


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PostPosted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 10:14 am 
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I think there will be too many posts in the one thread, and it will get out of control.



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PostPosted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 12:36 pm 
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That poll only asked one hundred people? May be wrong but I still dont see Newt losing Georgia.

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 1:23 pm 
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Santorum had a great event in Georgia last night. Around 4,000 people.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/santorum-rallies-thousands-at-georgia-megachurch/2012/02/19/gIQAn09XOR_blog.htm

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Mon Feb 20, 2012 4:33 pm 
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The only results that would surprise me in Georgia would be a Romney or Paul win. It looks like the race is going to be close between Gingrich and Santorum so we'll have to wait and see.

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 1:15 am 
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I agree with Eric that if the polls start to look like there's a good chance Newt could lose Georgia then he may go ahead and drop out before Super Tuesday. My guess is you'd assess this about the Thursday or Friday before the election.


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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 2:13 am 
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WalterCan wrote:
I agree with Eric that if the polls start to look like there's a good chance Newt could lose Georgia then he may go ahead and drop out before Super Tuesday. My guess is you'd assess this about the Thursday or Friday before the election.

I disagree. Newt is a powerful ego who has spent his entire life in the political world. It's hard to make it to Wimbledon, eliminate so many opponents, but then put down the racket and walk off the court before the last game has been played, especially if it's in your home town.

I think if Newt loses in GA, and loses some other states as well, then he might accept that it's not going to happen for him. In that case, he would probably use the evening of Super Tuesday to drop out ("Suspend" his campaign) because then his speech will be heard by millions of election watchers on TV. But if it looks close, or if he somehow miraculously won a bunch of states, :pigflying then Newt will stay in as long as his campaign still has a pulse, however faint.

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 10:13 am 
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Insider Advantage for Georgia 2/20/12:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2 ... A_0220.pdf

Gingrich 25.9
Romney 23.9
Santorum 22.8
Paul 11.7
Undecided 11.7
Other 4.4

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 11:18 am 
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FirstCoastTerp wrote:
Insider Advantage for Georgia 2/20/12:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2 ... A_0220.pdf

Gingrich 25.9
Romney 23.9
Santorum 22.8
Paul 11.7
Undecided 11.7
Other 4.4


This poll looks very good for Santorum even though he is in third. The main reason being that 27.5% of those they polled are independents!!! I dont think that over 1/4 of the people voting in the GA GOP primary will be indis. I think Romney's numbers go down quite a bit when a better sampling is taken. Second, more than 1 in 9 havent picked someone yet. I personally would think that alot of people are waiting to see if Newt even has a chance, and when they convince themselves he doesnt, the vote will go to Santorum. We'll see, but right now I think it looks more like this (w/ no undecideds):

Santorum: 37%
Gingrich: 28%
Romney: 22%
Paul: 13%


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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 11:29 am 
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Quote:
The main reason being that 27.5% of those they polled are independents!!!


Ahhh, I didn't look at the internals. That explains why this one favors Romney much more than the others. :roll:

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 11:59 am 
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FirstCoastTerp wrote:
Insider Advantage for Georgia 2/20/12:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2 ... A_0220.pdf

Gingrich 25.9
Romney 23.9
Santorum 22.8
Paul 11.7
Undecided 11.7
Other 4.4


Here's more from that same poll:
Quote:
Tuesday, February 21, 2012
Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2012 Republican Primary Survey
InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2012 GOP Primary Poll

Newt Gingrich 25.9% (54.1%) {17%} [9%] (12%)
Mitt Romney 23.9% (12.4%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
Rick Santorum 22.8% (1.7%)
Ron Paul 11.7% (5.5%) {5%} [5%] (1%)
Someone else 4.4% (0.7%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
No opinion 11.3% (17.4%) {12%} [20%] (22%)


Among Republicans (69.5%)

Newt Gingrich 29.2%
Rick Santorum 25.4%
Mitt Romney 19.2%
Ron Paul 9.8%
Someone else 4.2%
No opinion 12.2%

Among Independents (27.5%)

Mitt Romney 37.5%
Newt Gingrich 17.7%
Ron Paul 17.3%
Rick Santorum 15.6%
Someone else 2.7%
No opinion 9.1%

Survey of 721 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 20, 2012. Party ID: 69.5% Republican; 27.5% Independent; 3.1% Democrat. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2011 are in parentheses.

http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2012/02/poll-watch-insideradvantage-r-georgia.html

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Tue Feb 21, 2012 12:29 pm 
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I think I read somewhere that Georgia voters are 75% evangelicals. Are these polls catching that?

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Thu Feb 23, 2012 2:27 pm 
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Rasmussen Georgia poll:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_ ... an_primary

Gingrich: 33%
Santorum: 28%
Romney: 20%
Paul: 9%

Polling Date: Feb. 22nd


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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Thu Feb 23, 2012 3:26 pm 
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Newts numbers should go up after last nights debate.

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 Post subject: Re: Georgia polls
PostPosted: Fri Feb 24, 2012 9:43 pm 
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A new poll conducted for Channel 2 Action News shows Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich with a double-digit lead in Georgia.
The Landmark/Rosetta Stone poll of 1,300 voters was conducted on Feb. 23, less than two weeks before the state presidential primary.
Gingrich increased his lead slightly since a poll conducted earlier in February, receiving 38 percent of the vote. Rick Santorum received 25 percent, Mitt Romney 19 percent and Ron Paul 4 percent in the poll.

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